Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Thompson wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Spooner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.5% vs Spooner 46.9% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 73.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 97.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 89.2%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 89.3%
89.3%
10.7%
Thompson
Spooner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Thompson
Spooner
Last 7: Thompson 6-1 Spooner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Spooner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
Spooner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
1
Thompson
Spooner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Spooner
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (870)
44.8% (212)
+9.6%
Power Play
45.8% (24)
66.7% (6)
-20.9%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (162)
50.0% (2)
-4.9%
On power play, Spooner has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spooner shoots left. Thompson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Thompson shoots left. Spooner is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Thompson
Spooner
Home
55.3% (510)
45.8% (107)
Away
50.4% (546)
45.1% (113)
By Period
Thompson
Spooner
P1
53.5%
50.0%
P2
52.2%
41.7%
P3
52.7%
44.8%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.5%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.7%
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 02:18 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 12:41 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 05:25 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 05:07 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |