Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Thompson wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Spooner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Spooner 43.6% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 74.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 98.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 94.1%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 92.8%
92.8%
7.2%
Thompson
Spooner
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Thompson
Spooner
Last 10: Thompson 6-4 Spooner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thompson
Spooner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
1
Thompson
Spooner
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
5
2
Thompson
Spooner
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Spooner
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
43.1% (1,540)
+11.0%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
46.3% (67)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
42.1% (19)
+5.8%
On even strength, Thompson has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spooner shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Thompson shoots left. Spooner is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Thompson
Spooner
Home
54.8% (3,626)
43.9% (779)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
42.6% (847)
By Period
Thompson
Spooner
P1
53.2%
45.0%
P2
52.9%
46.2%
P3
52.8%
38.2%
OT
47.9%
35.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 02:37 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 04:59 | Defensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 08:33 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 22, 2017 | 2 | 07:42 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 22, 2017 | 2 | 02:03 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 02:18 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 12:41 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 05:25 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 05:07 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |