Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Thompson wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Bennett 47.2% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 51.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 93.5%
Neutral zone
Thompson 80.1%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Thompson
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Thompson
Bennett
Last 10: Thompson 5-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Thompson
Bennett
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
1
Thompson
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
6
2
Thompson
Bennett
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
46.8% (5,683)
+7.3%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
53.7% (555)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
41.8% (256)
+6.1%
On even strength, Thompson has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Thompson shoots left. Bennett is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,232).
Home / Away
Thompson
Bennett
Home
54.8% (3,626)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Thompson
Bennett
P1
53.2%
48.0%
P2
52.9%
46.5%
P3
52.8%
46.9%
OT
47.9%
52.5%
Final 5 min
51.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 05:52 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 1 | 17:14 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 2 | 05:30 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 3 | 05:59 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 1 | 05:56 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |