Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Thompson wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.5% vs Couturier 48.5% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 80.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 80.5%
Neutral zone
Thompson 81.3%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Thompson
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Thompson
Couturier
Last 5: Thompson 5-0 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
0
Thompson
Couturier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (870)
47.4% (1,052)
+7.0%
Power Play
45.8% (24)
54.7% (95)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (162)
50.3% (183)
-5.2%
On power play, Couturier has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Thompson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Thompson shoots left. Couturier is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Thompson
Couturier
Home
55.3% (510)
48.3% (658)
Away
50.4% (546)
48.4% (672)
By Period
Thompson
Couturier
P1
53.5%
50.1%
P2
52.2%
45.5%
P3
52.7%
49.9%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.7%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2014 | 3 | 17:14 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 1 | 15:48 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 3 | 17:52 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |