Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.7% vs 55.6%). Thompson wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.3% vs Couturier 54.5% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Couturier 63.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 66.7%
Neutral zone
Couturier 52.5%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Thompson
Couturier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (236)
57.4% (303)
-1.9%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
65.5% (55)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
40.0% (70)
+16.5%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Thompson shoots left. Couturier is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Thompson
Couturier
Home
53.1% (128)
54.3% (219)
Away
57.9% (159)
56.9% (209)
By Period
Thompson
Couturier
P1
59.0%
53.2%
P2
55.4%
54.8%
P3
52.6%
57.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
55.6%