Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 53.4% vs Couturier 56.6% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 50.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 67.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 57.4%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Thompson
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Thompson
Couturier
Last 5: Thompson 1-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Thompson
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Thompson
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (628)
55.6% (1,008)
-1.1%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
71.7% (138)
-24.3%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (113)
54.2% (177)
-2.9%
On power play, Couturier has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Thompson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Thompson shoots left. Couturier is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Thompson
Couturier
Home
55.6% (329)
59.8% (696)
Away
52.4% (431)
54.1% (627)
By Period
Thompson
Couturier
P1
55.3%
54.3%
P2
48.1%
59.8%
P3
58.4%
56.6%
Final 5 min
56.7%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.8%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |