Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.5% vs Couturier 58.7% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 52.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 80.5%
Neutral zone
Thompson 59.6%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Thompson
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Thompson
Couturier
Last 6: Thompson 1-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Thompson
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Thompson
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Thompson
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (654)
60.1% (669)
-4.3%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
60.9% (133)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (123)
55.1% (107)
-3.9%
On power play, Couturier has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Thompson is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Thompson shoots left. Couturier is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Thompson
Couturier
Home
57.0% (421)
59.9% (484)
Away
52.7% (366)
59.3% (425)
By Period
Thompson
Couturier
P1
57.9%
61.8%
P2
52.3%
57.4%
P3
55.2%
59.5%
OT
0.0%
68.8%
Final 5 min
51.5%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.0%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 18:38 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 17:27 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 18:24 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |