Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dries shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Dries 49.4% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dries 81.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 59.2%
Neutral zone
Dries 61.4%
Result
Sheldon Dries favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Thompson
Dries
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Thompson
Dries
Last 6: Thompson 2-4 Dries
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
1
Thompson
Dries
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dries
0
1
Thompson
Dries
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dries
0
2
Thompson
Dries
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Dries
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
48.5% (544)
+5.6%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
54.3% (70)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
51.4% (37)
-3.5%
On even strength, Thompson has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dries shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Thompson shoots left. Dries is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Thompson
Dries
Home
54.8% (3,626)
52.6% (363)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
45.1% (288)
By Period
Thompson
Dries
P1
53.2%
46.7%
P2
52.9%
51.4%
P3
52.8%
49.5%
Final 5 min
51.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Dries
40.0%▼
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 16:34 | Neutral | Sheldon Dries |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | Sheldon Dries |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 02:34 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |