Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dries shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Dries 49.6% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dries 81.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 60.0%
Neutral zone
Dries 60.6%
Result
Sheldon Dries favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Thompson
Dries
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Thompson
Dries
Last 6: Thompson 2-4 Dries
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
1
Thompson
Dries
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dries
0
1
Thompson
Dries
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dries
0
2
Thompson
Dries
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Dries
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
48.8% (527)
+5.3%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
52.9% (68)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
54.3% (35)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Dries has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dries shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Thompson shoots left. Dries is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Thompson
Dries
Home
54.8% (3,626)
52.8% (354)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
45.3% (276)
By Period
Thompson
Dries
P1
53.2%
47.1%
P2
52.9%
52.1%
P3
52.8%
48.9%
Final 5 min
51.6%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Dries
46.0%▼
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 16:34 | Neutral | Sheldon Dries |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | Sheldon Dries |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 02:34 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |