Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dries shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 53.4% vs Dries 50.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dries 75.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 53.2%
Neutral zone
Dries 66.4%
Result
Sheldon Dries favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Thompson
Dries
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Thompson
Dries
Last 6: Thompson 2-4 Dries
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
1
Thompson
Dries
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dries
0
1
Thompson
Dries
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dries
0
2
Thompson
Dries
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Dries
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (628)
49.5% (103)
+5.0%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
33.3% (3)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (113)
56.0% (25)
-4.7%
On power play, Thompson has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dries shoots left. Thompson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Thompson shoots left. Dries is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Thompson
Dries
Home
55.6% (329)
55.1% (69)
Away
52.4% (431)
45.2% (62)
By Period
Thompson
Dries
P1
55.3%
56.8%
P2
48.1%
44.9%
P3
58.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.8%
Dries
40.0%▼
49.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 16:34 | Neutral | Sheldon Dries |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | Sheldon Dries |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 02:34 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |