Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.3% vs Lorentz 47.6% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 83.9%
Defensive zone
Thompson 68.4%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 56.1%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 83.9%
16.1%
83.9%
Thompson
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Thompson
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
1
Thompson
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (236)
46.5% (101)
+9.0%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
33.3% (3)
+26.7%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
37.5% (8)
+19.0%
On power play, Thompson has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Thompson shoots left. Lorentz is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Thompson
Lorentz
Home
53.1% (128)
49.1% (53)
Away
57.9% (159)
42.4% (59)
By Period
Thompson
Lorentz
P1
59.0%
48.6%
P2
55.4%
36.7%
P3
52.6%
57.7%
Final 5 min
51.4%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Lorentz
58.0%▲
47.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 12:21 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |