Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.3% vs Thompson 41.2% (+15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 73.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 57.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 62.7%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Thompson
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Thompson
Thompson
Last 5: Thompson 2-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Thompson
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thompson
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (236)
40.6% (801)
+14.9%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
44.7% (103)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
31.0% (71)
+25.5%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Thompson is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Thompson shoots left. Thompson is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Home / Away
Thompson
Thompson
Home
53.1% (128)
43.2% (507)
Away
57.9% (159)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Thompson
Thompson
P1
59.0%
37.7%
P2
55.4%
43.4%
P3
52.6%
39.5%
Final 5 min
51.4%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 15:07 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |