Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kopecky shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 51.1% vs Kopecky 49.5% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopecky 68.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 77.5%
Neutral zone
Thompson 54.1%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Thompson
Kopecky
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Thompson
Kopecky
Last 6: Thompson 3-3 Kopecky
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopecky
0
2
Thompson
Kopecky
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Kopecky
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
1
Thompson
Kopecky
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Kopecky
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (462)
53.7% (41)
-1.1%
Power Play
80.0% (10)
37.9% (29)
+42.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (133)
56.3% (16)
-11.9%
On power play, Thompson has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kopecky shoots left. Thompson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (362).
Thompson shoots left. Kopecky is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (47).
Home / Away
Thompson
Kopecky
Home
52.5% (324)
56.6% (53)
Away
49.8% (281)
36.4% (33)
By Period
Thompson
Kopecky
P1
49.0%
63.0%
P2
55.4%
46.7%
P3
48.3%
37.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Kopecky
38.0%▼
47.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 02:44 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 14:07 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 06:49 | Neutral | Tomas Kopecky |