Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopecky on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Thompson wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kopecky shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Kopecky 47.2% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopecky 62.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 88.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 68.7%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Thompson
Kopecky
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Thompson
Kopecky
Last 10: Thompson 5-5 Kopecky
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopecky
0
4
Thompson
Kopecky
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
0
Thompson
Kopecky
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
1
Thompson
Kopecky
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Kopecky
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
47.3% (438)
+6.8%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
42.3% (142)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
51.3% (80)
-3.4%
On power play, Thompson has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kopecky shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Thompson shoots left. Kopecky is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Home / Away
Thompson
Kopecky
Home
54.8% (3,626)
51.9% (364)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
40.7% (305)
By Period
Thompson
Kopecky
P1
53.2%
47.4%
P2
52.9%
42.5%
P3
52.8%
49.3%
OT
47.9%
58.8%
Final 5 min
51.6%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Kopecky
38.0%▼
47.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2013 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 02:44 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 14:07 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 06:49 | Neutral | Tomas Kopecky |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 06:44 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |