Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tatar on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Thompson wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tatar shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Tatar 41.1% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tatar 89.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 70.4%
Neutral zone
Tatar 65.9%
Result
Tomas Tatar favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Thompson
Tatar
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Thompson
Tatar
Last 6: Thompson 2-4 Tatar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tatar
0
4
Thompson
Tatar
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
Tatar
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Tatar
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
37.3% (268)
+16.8%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
41.4% (70)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
100.0% (2)
-52.1%
On penalty kill, Tatar has a +52.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tatar shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Thompson shoots left. Tatar is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Thompson
Tatar
Home
54.8% (3,626)
37.1% (178)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
40.1% (162)
By Period
Thompson
Tatar
P1
53.2%
39.4%
P2
52.9%
38.1%
P3
52.8%
38.8%
OT
47.9%
20.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
27.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Tatar
42.0%▲
38.0%
38.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2013 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | Tomas Tatar |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Tomas Tatar |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 15:45 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Tomas Tatar |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Tomas Tatar |