Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Tatar shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.3% vs Tatar 46.0% (+17.7%)
Offensive zone
Tatar 74.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 79.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 51.8%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Thompson
Tatar
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Tatar
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (236)
35.0% (40)
+20.5%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
50.0% (10)
+10.0%
On even strength, Thompson has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tatar shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Thompson shoots left. Tatar is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (26).
Home / Away
Thompson
Tatar
Home
53.1% (128)
36.0% (25)
Away
57.9% (159)
40.0% (25)
By Period
Thompson
Tatar
P1
59.0%
52.9%
P2
55.4%
31.6%
P3
52.6%
28.6%
Final 5 min
51.4%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Tatar
42.0%▲
38.0%
38.0%