Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 50.0%). Look for Tatar on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 50.8% vs Tatar 50.0% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tatar 81.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 67.4%
Neutral zone
Thompson 53.4%
Result
Tomas Tatar favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Thompson
Tatar
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Thompson
Tatar
Last 6: Thompson 2-4 Tatar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tatar
0
4
Thompson
Tatar
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
Tatar
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Tatar
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (785)
47.4% (19)
+4.8%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
50.0% (32)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (175)
100.0% (1)
-54.3%
On penalty kill, Tatar has a +54.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tatar shoots left. Thompson is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (602).
Thompson shoots left. Tatar is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (39).
Home / Away
Thompson
Tatar
Home
54.1% (475)
56.7% (30)
Away
47.9% (499)
40.9% (22)
By Period
Thompson
Tatar
P1
50.0%
38.9%
P2
49.5%
57.9%
P3
54.0%
50.0%
OT
35.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.9%
Tatar
42.0%▲
38.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2013 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | Tomas Tatar |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Tomas Tatar |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 15:45 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Tomas Tatar |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Tomas Tatar |