Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 53.5%). Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 30 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Bozak 53.4% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 35-34 in 69 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 71.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 73.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 54.1%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Thompson
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
34
(69 meetings)
35
34
Thompson
Bozak
Last 10: Thompson 3-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
7
23
Thompson
Bozak
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
17
2
Thompson
Bozak
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
11
9
Thompson
Bozak
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
53.7% (9,596)
+0.4%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
55.2% (1,990)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
48.0% (1,094)
-0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Thompson shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Thompson
Bozak
Home
54.8% (3,626)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Thompson
Bozak
P1
53.2%
53.2%
P2
52.9%
52.8%
P3
52.8%
54.5%
OT
47.9%
52.9%
Final 5 min
51.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 15:55 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 11:33 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:01 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 04:37 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 06:08 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 16:51 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 06:31 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 08:17 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 2 | 01:09 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 1 | 14:23 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |