Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.3% vs Bozak 46.2% (+10.5%)
Offensive zone
Bozak 61.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 52.7%
Neutral zone
Bozak 54.6%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Thompson
Bozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (236)
46.7% (338)
+8.8%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
50.0% (6)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
32.6% (43)
+23.9%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Thompson is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Thompson shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Thompson
Bozak
Home
53.1% (128)
47.9% (194)
Away
57.9% (159)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Thompson
Bozak
P1
59.0%
40.2%
P2
55.4%
51.4%
P3
52.6%
43.1%
Final 5 min
51.4%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%