Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.2% vs 54.6%). Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 53.7% vs Bozak 54.3% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 71.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 70.1%
Neutral zone
Bozak 50.5%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Thompson
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Thompson
Bozak
Last 8: Thompson 2-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Thompson
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thompson
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Thompson
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (478)
54.2% (962)
+1.9%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
57.9% (266)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (164)
52.1% (188)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Thompson is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (234).
Thompson shoots left. Bozak is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (922).
Home / Away
Thompson
Bozak
Home
55.2% (315)
58.6% (732)
Away
53.3% (349)
50.5% (709)
By Period
Thompson
Bozak
P1
57.5%
54.1%
P2
54.2%
55.0%
P3
51.1%
54.1%
OT
54.5%
65.2%
Final 5 min
50.9%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
54.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2011 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 14, 2011 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 14, 2011 | 2 | 08:57 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 14, 2011 | 1 | 06:23 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 3 | 13:47 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |