Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.0% vs 55.0%). Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.5% vs Bozak 54.3% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 68.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 58.8%
Neutral zone
Bozak 55.9%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Thompson
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Thompson
Bozak
Last 8: Thompson 2-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Thompson
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thompson
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Thompson
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (654)
57.3% (483)
-1.5%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
57.5% (73)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (123)
42.3% (104)
+8.9%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Thompson is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Thompson shoots left. Bozak is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Thompson
Bozak
Home
57.0% (421)
57.8% (332)
Away
52.7% (366)
52.1% (328)
By Period
Thompson
Bozak
P1
57.9%
52.7%
P2
52.3%
55.6%
P3
55.2%
56.7%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 15:55 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 11:33 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:01 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 04:37 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 06:08 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |