Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ennis on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Ennis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.5% vs Ennis 41.3% (+16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ennis 59.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 51.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.3%
Result
Tyler Ennis favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Thompson
Ennis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Thompson
Ennis
Last 5: Thompson 2-3 Ennis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Ennis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ennis
0
3
Thompson
Ennis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Ennis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Ennis
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (870)
38.3% (154)
+16.1%
Power Play
45.8% (24)
34.8% (23)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (162)
0.0% (6)
+45.1%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +45.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ennis shoots left. Thompson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Thompson shoots left. Ennis is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Home / Away
Thompson
Ennis
Home
55.3% (510)
36.9% (103)
Away
50.4% (546)
36.3% (80)
By Period
Thompson
Ennis
P1
53.5%
32.1%
P2
52.2%
41.4%
P3
52.7%
36.8%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.7%
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2014 | 3 | 16:38 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 1 | 05:34 | Defensive | Tyler Ennis |