Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ennis on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Ennis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Ennis 41.7% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Ennis leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Ennis 77.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 75.0%
Neutral zone
Ennis 54.3%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Thompson
Ennis
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Thompson
Ennis
Last 10: Thompson 5-5 Ennis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ennis
1
2
Thompson
Ennis
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Thompson
Ennis
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ennis
2
3
Thompson
Ennis
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Ennis
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
40.7% (1,404)
+13.4%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
45.5% (167)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
38.1% (21)
+9.8%
On even strength, Thompson has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ennis shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Thompson shoots left. Ennis is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (951).
Home / Away
Thompson
Ennis
Home
54.8% (3,626)
43.6% (834)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
38.4% (760)
By Period
Thompson
Ennis
P1
53.2%
39.4%
P2
52.9%
43.1%
P3
52.8%
41.7%
OT
47.9%
31.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2014 | 3 | 16:38 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 1 | 05:34 | Defensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 07:16 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 10:19 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 03:35 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 00:28 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 10:02 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Tyler Ennis |