Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.5% vs Johnson 48.8% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 82.6%
Defensive zone
Johnson 64.5%
Neutral zone
Johnson 71.9%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 76.8%
23.2%
76.8%
Thompson
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Thompson
Johnson
Last 5: Thompson 1-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
3
Thompson
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Thompson
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (870)
49.5% (828)
+4.9%
Power Play
45.8% (24)
54.9% (142)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (162)
36.8% (133)
+8.3%
On power play, Johnson has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Thompson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Thompson shoots left. Johnson is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (728).
Home / Away
Thompson
Johnson
Home
55.3% (510)
50.7% (564)
Away
50.4% (546)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Thompson
Johnson
P1
53.5%
51.2%
P2
52.2%
47.5%
P3
52.7%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.5%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 17:26 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 09:50 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 1 | 08:21 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |