Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.3% vs Johnson 53.6% (-5.1%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 75.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 74.5%
Neutral zone
Johnson 51.8%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Thompson
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (236)
61.9% (42)
-6.4%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
55.6% (9)
+4.4%
On even strength, Johnson has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Thompson is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Thompson shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Thompson
Johnson
Home
53.1% (128)
52.0% (25)
Away
57.9% (159)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Thompson
Johnson
P1
59.0%
72.0%
P2
55.4%
66.7%
P3
52.6%
27.3%
Final 5 min
51.4%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%