Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.5% vs Johnson 49.2% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 89.7%
Defensive zone
Johnson 56.0%
Neutral zone
Johnson 68.2%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Thompson
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Thompson
Johnson
Last 8: Thompson 3-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Thompson
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Thompson
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Thompson
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (654)
47.2% (286)
+8.6%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
61.8% (55)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (123)
33.3% (12)
+17.9%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Thompson is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Thompson shoots left. Johnson is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (263).
Home / Away
Thompson
Johnson
Home
57.0% (421)
55.0% (151)
Away
52.7% (366)
44.6% (202)
By Period
Thompson
Johnson
P1
57.9%
42.3%
P2
52.3%
56.2%
P3
55.2%
47.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 06:28 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 01:58 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 12:25 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |