Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 53.6%). Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Seguin 53.6% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 68.9%
Defensive zone
Thompson 72.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.6%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Thompson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
8
(19 meetings)
11
8
Thompson
Seguin
Last 10: Thompson 7-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
5
3
Thompson
Seguin
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
3
4
Thompson
Seguin
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
1
Thompson
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
53.7% (8,071)
+0.4%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
55.9% (810)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
49.3% (762)
-1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Thompson shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Thompson
Seguin
Home
54.8% (3,626)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Thompson
Seguin
P1
53.2%
52.8%
P2
52.9%
53.3%
P3
52.8%
54.7%
OT
47.9%
54.7%
Final 5 min
51.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 16:36 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 08:08 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 09:16 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 8, 2015 | 3 | 11:44 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 8, 2015 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 8, 2015 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 17:51 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 01:26 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 09:08 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 19:39 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |