Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.7% vs 56.0%). Thompson wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.3% vs Seguin 55.4% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 65.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 66.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 56.4%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Thompson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Thompson
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (236)
56.5% (712)
-1.0%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
59.7% (67)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
44.9% (49)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Thompson is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Thompson shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Thompson
Seguin
Home
53.1% (128)
58.5% (402)
Away
57.9% (159)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Thompson
Seguin
P1
59.0%
58.4%
P2
55.4%
54.7%
P3
52.6%
54.1%
Final 5 min
51.4%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 16:36 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |