Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.5% vs Seguin 53.2% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 70.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 59.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 59.2%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Thompson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Thompson
Seguin
Last 5: Thompson 0-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Thompson
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Thompson
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Thompson
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (870)
53.9% (482)
+0.5%
Power Play
45.8% (24)
35.3% (17)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (162)
75.0% (12)
-29.9%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Thompson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Thompson shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Thompson
Seguin
Home
55.3% (510)
58.9% (231)
Away
50.4% (546)
49.6% (280)
By Period
Thompson
Seguin
P1
53.5%
51.5%
P2
52.2%
48.5%
P3
52.7%
61.7%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2015 | 3 | 11:44 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 8, 2015 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 8, 2015 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 17:51 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |