Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings). Thompson wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Smith 50.6% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 25-17 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 64.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 83.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 74.3%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Thompson
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
17
(42 meetings)
25
17
Thompson
Smith
Last 10: Thompson 7-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
5
6
Thompson
Smith
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
12
3
Thompson
Smith
15 total
Neutral Zone
Even
8
8
Thompson
Smith
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
51.6% (5,265)
+2.5%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
51.2% (342)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
45.3% (985)
+2.6%
On power play, Thompson has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Thompson shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Thompson
Smith
Home
54.8% (3,626)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Thompson
Smith
P1
53.2%
49.9%
P2
52.9%
50.0%
P3
52.8%
51.9%
OT
47.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2020 | 3 | 13:13 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 15, 2020 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 15, 2020 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 15, 2020 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 15:00 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 07:33 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 09:15 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 24, 2014 | OT | 04:59 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 01:03 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 07:43 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 2 | 17:03 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 2 | 16:57 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 2 | 14:18 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |