Blake Wheeler vs Nathan MacKinnon
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Blake Wheeler holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wheeler wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.8% vs MacKinnon 42.6% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 68.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 70.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 69.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Wheeler
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Wheeler
MacKinnon
Last 7: Wheeler 2-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
2
1
Wheeler
MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
3
Wheeler
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Wheeler
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (294)
40.7% (953)
+7.6%
Power Play
34.0% (50)
51.4% (148)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (18)
36.4% (55)
+2.5%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Wheeler is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Wheeler shoots right. MacKinnon is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Wheeler
MacKinnon
Home
50.8% (183)
42.1% (617)
Away
40.8% (179)
41.7% (540)
By Period
Wheeler
MacKinnon
P1
44.1%
43.4%
P2
48.7%
40.9%
P3
45.2%
40.8%
OT
40.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
39.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |