Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Shore on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 47.5% vs MacKinnon 50.5% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 55.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 69.3%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 55.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Shore
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Shore
MacKinnon
Last 6: Shore 4-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shore
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shore
1
0
Shore
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shore
2
1
Shore
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (388)
49.3% (1,167)
-1.6%
Power Play
42.1% (76)
61.0% (187)
-18.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
47.9% (167)
+18.8%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Shore is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Shore shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Shore
MacKinnon
Home
44.8% (241)
57.7% (728)
Away
49.3% (229)
44.0% (793)
By Period
Shore
MacKinnon
P1
45.6%
50.1%
P2
43.6%
52.5%
P3
51.7%
49.3%
OT
100.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
43.6%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Devin Shore |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 12:04 | Defensive | Devin Shore |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | Devin Shore |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 11:48 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | Devin Shore |