Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.0% vs MacKinnon 44.2% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 75.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 68.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 83.2%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Staal
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Staal
MacKinnon
Last 10: Staal 7-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
3
Staal
MacKinnon
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,026)
42.8% (1,039)
+7.8%
Power Play
55.0% (211)
50.8% (118)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
46.2% (26)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Staal is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (410).
Staal shoots left. MacKinnon is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Staal
MacKinnon
Home
52.4% (647)
48.0% (586)
Away
49.7% (610)
39.5% (597)
By Period
Staal
MacKinnon
P1
49.4%
46.1%
P2
53.9%
41.5%
P3
49.1%
43.8%
OT
81.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.1%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 04:25 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 11:36 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Eric Staal |