Henrik Borgstrom vs Nathan MacKinnon
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Borgstrom wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Borgstrom 42.6% vs MacKinnon 44.2% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Borgstrom 54.4%
Defensive zone
Borgstrom 55.3%
Neutral zone
Borgstrom 56.3%
Result
Henrik Borgstrom favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Borgstrom
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Borgstrom
MacKinnon
Last 5: Borgstrom 1-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Borgstrom
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Borgstrom
1
0
Borgstrom
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Borgstrom
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Borgstrom
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (384)
42.8% (1,039)
-2.2%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
50.8% (118)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
46.2% (26)
-6.2%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Borgstrom is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Borgstrom shoots left. MacKinnon is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Borgstrom
MacKinnon
Home
44.2% (190)
48.0% (586)
Away
37.7% (215)
39.5% (597)
By Period
Borgstrom
MacKinnon
P1
46.6%
46.1%
P2
32.9%
41.5%
P3
44.8%
43.8%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.0%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Borgstrom
46.0%▲
40.0%
40.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Henrik Borgstrom |