Johan Larsson vs Nathan MacKinnon
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.5%). Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 48.8% vs MacKinnon 48.7% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 72.0%
Defensive zone
Larsson 73.0%
Neutral zone
Larsson 55.9%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Larsson
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Larsson
MacKinnon
Last 10: Larsson 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
4
Larsson
MacKinnon
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
2
Larsson
MacKinnon
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
4
Larsson
MacKinnon
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (504)
48.5% (439)
+1.7%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
54.8% (42)
-21.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (96)
25.0% (12)
+16.7%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Larsson is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (169).
Larsson shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Larsson
MacKinnon
Home
48.2% (272)
52.5% (221)
Away
49.0% (337)
45.2% (272)
By Period
Larsson
MacKinnon
P1
48.6%
50.5%
P2
56.1%
45.5%
P3
41.0%
48.5%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 14:55 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 13:16 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 23, 2021 | OT | 03:12 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 15:28 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 2 | 14:56 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |