Kyle Brodziak vs Nathan MacKinnon
2013-14 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brodziak wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 48.4% vs MacKinnon 44.2% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 52.3%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 90.0%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 73.9%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Brodziak
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Brodziak
MacKinnon
Last 8: Brodziak 6-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brodziak
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
1
Brodziak
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
3
0
Brodziak
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (994)
42.0% (407)
+7.2%
Power Play
70.4% (27)
51.2% (43)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (202)
50.0% (2)
-9.4%
On power play, Brodziak has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Brodziak is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Brodziak shoots right. MacKinnon is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Brodziak
MacKinnon
Home
49.6% (593)
42.1% (202)
Away
47.0% (630)
43.6% (250)
By Period
Brodziak
MacKinnon
P1
48.2%
43.3%
P2
46.3%
41.5%
P3
51.3%
44.2%
OT
23.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
46.5%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2014 | 2 | 15:14 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 2 | 01:43 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 3 | 12:44 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 3 | 09:42 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 3 | 04:54 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 11:34 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 15:02 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |