Kyle Brodziak vs Nathan MacKinnon
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brodziak wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 51.9% vs MacKinnon 42.6% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodziak 58.1%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 92.1%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 87.6%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Brodziak
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Brodziak
MacKinnon
Last 7: Brodziak 7-0 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
3
0
Brodziak
MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
0
Brodziak
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
0
Brodziak
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (808)
40.7% (953)
+12.4%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
51.4% (148)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (149)
36.4% (55)
+10.6%
On even strength, Brodziak has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Brodziak is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (297).
Brodziak shoots right. MacKinnon is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Brodziak
MacKinnon
Home
56.6% (477)
42.1% (617)
Away
47.8% (490)
41.7% (540)
By Period
Brodziak
MacKinnon
P1
54.1%
43.4%
P2
55.5%
40.9%
P3
47.0%
40.8%
OT
100.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.1%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 18:41 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 09:05 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 2 | 07:09 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 1 | 18:35 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |