Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 50.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 50.1% vs MacKinnon 50.5% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 70.3%
Defensive zone
Stajan 63.9%
Neutral zone
Stajan 54.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Stajan
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Stajan
MacKinnon
Last 6: Stajan 5-1 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
0
Stajan
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stajan
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
0
Stajan
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (627)
49.3% (1,167)
+1.6%
Power Play
40.0% (15)
61.0% (187)
-21.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (126)
47.9% (167)
-0.3%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Stajan is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Stajan shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Stajan
MacKinnon
Home
52.4% (401)
57.7% (728)
Away
47.7% (367)
44.0% (793)
By Period
Stajan
MacKinnon
P1
56.3%
50.1%
P2
45.5%
52.5%
P3
48.9%
49.3%
Final 5 min
47.2%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2017 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 09:49 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |