Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 50.5% vs Petan 47.0% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Petan 50.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 66.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 56.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
MacKinnon
Petan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
MacKinnon
Petan
Last 5: MacKinnon 3-2 Petan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon
Petan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Petan
0
1
MacKinnon
Petan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Petan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Petan
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,167)
46.5% (299)
+2.8%
Power Play
61.0% (187)
40.0% (15)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (167)
0.0% (1)
+47.9%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +47.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Petan shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
MacKinnon shoots right. Petan is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Petan
Home
57.7% (728)
45.8% (131)
Away
44.0% (793)
46.2% (184)
By Period
MacKinnon
Petan
P1
50.1%
52.6%
P2
52.5%
46.2%
P3
49.3%
37.9%
Final 5 min
55.3%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Petan
34.0%▼
43.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Nic Petan |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Nic Petan |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |