Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Petan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Petan 49.5% (+6.2%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 55.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 69.9%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 55.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
MacKinnon
Petan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Petan
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
40.0% (5)
+5.5%
On even strength, MacKinnon has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Petan shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
MacKinnon shoots right. Petan is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (2).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Petan
Home
47.8% (670)
33.3% (3)
Away
44.6% (644)
50.0% (2)
By Period
MacKinnon
Petan
P1
45.3%
100.0%
P2
48.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Petan
34.0%▼
43.0%
40.0%