Nathan MacKinnon vs Patrick Marleau
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 48.6% vs Marleau 50.7% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 63.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 57.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 62.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
MacKinnon
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
MacKinnon
Marleau
Last 7: MacKinnon 1-6 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Marleau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
3
MacKinnon
Marleau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
2
MacKinnon
Marleau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (849)
49.0% (437)
-0.8%
Power Play
51.0% (151)
70.6% (34)
-19.6%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (47)
53.7% (54)
-9.0%
On power play, Marleau has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (705).
MacKinnon shoots right. Marleau is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Marleau
Home
51.2% (521)
55.1% (234)
Away
45.6% (526)
47.4% (291)
By Period
MacKinnon
Marleau
P1
49.9%
56.3%
P2
48.0%
48.5%
P3
47.9%
46.5%
OT
25.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
53.0%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.4%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2016 | 1 | 11:32 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 3 | 05:11 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 1 | 03:53 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 1 | 00:17 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |