Nathan MacKinnon vs Patrick Marleau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Marleau 50.9% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Marleau leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 71.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 71.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 70.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
MacKinnon
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
MacKinnon
Marleau
Last 10: MacKinnon 3-7 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
3
MacKinnon
Marleau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
4
MacKinnon
Marleau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
2
4
MacKinnon
Marleau
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
50.3% (2,656)
-4.2%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
55.7% (332)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
50.7% (452)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
MacKinnon shoots right. Marleau is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,389).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Marleau
Home
49.7% (6,444)
53.3% (1,735)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
48.5% (1,715)
By Period
MacKinnon
Marleau
P1
47.4%
52.2%
P2
46.6%
49.5%
P3
46.1%
50.7%
OT
48.4%
55.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 15:34 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 29, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 1 | 11:32 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 3 | 05:11 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 1 | 03:53 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 1 | 00:17 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |