Nathan MacKinnon vs Ryan Getzlaf
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). MacKinnon wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Getzlaf 49.8% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Getzlaf leads 20-13 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 66.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 64.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 62.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
20
(33 meetings)
13
20
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
Last 10: MacKinnon 4-6 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
8
5
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
2
11
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
3
4
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
49.6% (10,258)
-3.5%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
54.9% (1,381)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
44.8% (1,055)
-2.0%
On even strength, Getzlaf has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
MacKinnon shoots right. Getzlaf is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (3,584).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
Home
49.7% (6,444)
51.8% (6,270)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
47.8% (6,495)
By Period
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
P1
47.4%
49.2%
P2
46.6%
50.4%
P3
46.1%
49.7%
OT
48.4%
49.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:18 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 09:06 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 16:58 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 08:39 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 1 | 15:29 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 18, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 3 | 17:37 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |