Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Getzlaf 53.0% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 62.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 54.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 56.5%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
52.5% (772)
-6.7%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
60.8% (153)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
48.0% (100)
-20.4%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
MacKinnon shoots right. Getzlaf is 60.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
Home
49.5% (396)
56.0% (557)
Away
41.7% (448)
50.0% (468)
By Period
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
P1
50.2%
52.2%
P2
43.8%
53.0%
P3
41.4%
54.9%
OT
66.7%
46.7%
Final 5 min
41.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:18 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |