Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKinnon wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 48.6% vs Getzlaf 49.4% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 56.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 60.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 60.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
Last 5: MacKinnon 1-4 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
3
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (849)
48.1% (939)
+0.1%
Power Play
51.0% (151)
56.8% (222)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (47)
41.4% (58)
+3.3%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. MacKinnon is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (342).
MacKinnon shoots right. Getzlaf is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
Home
51.2% (521)
49.4% (591)
Away
45.6% (526)
49.4% (628)
By Period
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
P1
49.9%
50.0%
P2
48.0%
47.4%
P3
47.9%
50.6%
OT
25.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
53.0%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.4%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 16:05 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 07:24 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |