Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKinnon wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 48.7% vs Getzlaf 51.5% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 61.3%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 52.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 58.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
Last 5: MacKinnon 2-3 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
3
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (439)
52.2% (542)
-3.7%
Power Play
54.8% (42)
50.7% (75)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
49.2% (59)
-24.2%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. MacKinnon is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (69).
MacKinnon shoots right. Getzlaf is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
Home
52.5% (221)
52.3% (333)
Away
45.2% (272)
51.3% (343)
By Period
MacKinnon
Getzlaf
P1
50.5%
55.5%
P2
45.5%
45.6%
P3
48.5%
53.7%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.5%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 09:06 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 16:58 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |