Nathan MacKinnon vs Ryan O'Reilly
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 51.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 59.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 56.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
MacKinnon
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
MacKinnon
O'Reilly
Last 10: MacKinnon 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
MacKinnon
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
MacKinnon
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
56.6% (1,064)
-10.8%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
60.4% (260)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
54.0% (261)
-26.4%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
MacKinnon shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
O'Reilly
Home
49.5% (396)
54.9% (801)
Away
41.7% (448)
58.7% (784)
By Period
MacKinnon
O'Reilly
P1
50.2%
58.0%
P2
43.8%
56.7%
P3
41.4%
55.4%
OT
66.7%
64.7%
Final 5 min
41.0%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 13:39 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 08:03 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 06:33 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 03:41 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |