Nathan MacKinnon vs Vladimir Sobotka
2013-14 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +19.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKinnon wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.2% vs Sobotka 60.6% (-19.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 62.7%
Defensive zone
Sobotka 54.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
MacKinnon
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
MacKinnon
Sobotka
Last 6: MacKinnon 2-4 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
2
MacKinnon
Sobotka
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
1
MacKinnon
Sobotka
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
1
MacKinnon
Sobotka
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (407)
62.0% (637)
-20.0%
Power Play
51.2% (43)
62.6% (91)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
60.0% (85)
-10.0%
On even strength, Sobotka has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (350).
MacKinnon shoots right. Sobotka is 68.1% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Sobotka
Home
42.1% (202)
65.8% (371)
Away
43.6% (250)
58.6% (442)
By Period
MacKinnon
Sobotka
P1
43.3%
63.0%
P2
41.5%
61.4%
P3
44.2%
60.7%
OT
37.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
41.9%
64.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
42.9%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 05:40 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |