Nathan MacKinnon vs Vladimir Sobotka
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Sobotka 55.8% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Sobotka 55.4%
Defensive zone
Sobotka 79.6%
Neutral zone
Sobotka 77.2%
Result
Vladimir Sobotka favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
MacKinnon
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
MacKinnon
Sobotka
Last 10: MacKinnon 6-4 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
3
4
MacKinnon
Sobotka
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
5
2
MacKinnon
Sobotka
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sobotka
1
2
MacKinnon
Sobotka
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
56.9% (2,613)
-10.8%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
57.0% (223)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
50.6% (447)
-7.8%
On even strength, Sobotka has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
MacKinnon shoots right. Sobotka is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,141).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Sobotka
Home
49.7% (6,444)
58.7% (1,601)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
53.5% (1,685)
By Period
MacKinnon
Sobotka
P1
47.4%
56.2%
P2
46.6%
56.3%
P3
46.1%
55.3%
OT
48.4%
61.4%
Final 5 min
49.0%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 02:51 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 09:43 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 00:11 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 17:06 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 05:40 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |