Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 52.9% vs Kadri 46.5% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 72.5%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 94.8%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 84.6%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
MacKenzie
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
MacKenzie
Kadri
Last 6: MacKenzie 5-1 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
0
MacKenzie
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (737)
47.2% (1,015)
+7.9%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
41.1% (112)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (266)
17.6% (17)
+31.3%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +31.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (662).
MacKenzie shoots left. Kadri is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (695).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Kadri
Home
54.9% (506)
45.4% (573)
Away
51.4% (516)
46.9% (571)
By Period
MacKenzie
Kadri
P1
54.5%
48.9%
P2
55.6%
45.2%
P3
48.2%
43.4%
OT
70.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
53.0%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 28, 2014 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 28, 2014 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 28, 2014 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 28, 2014 | 1 | 04:05 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |